Analytics
Resolved Guardians on 24 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Guardians at 73.5%. The Orioles side opened at 48.5% on 23 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Jul 2025 to 24 Jul 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 23 Jul 2025 and the lowest 26.5% on 24 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 26.5% on 24 Jul 2025. $80.88K traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Orioles price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Jul 2025 – 24 Jul 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Orioles price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2025 | 48.5% |
| 24 Jul 2025 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neekwilwin | Orioles | 2.33K |
| cfjtfcjgctyfjcygf | Orioles | 892.58 |
| EVplusrebate | Orioles | 262.99 |
| Swift Tide EF49 | Orioles | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for July 23 at 6:40PM ET: If the Baltimore Orioles win, the market will resolve to “Orioles”. If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to “Guardians”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-bal-cle-2025-07-23
| Crimson Signal 8065 | Orioles | 200 |
| Coral Summit B9E1 | Orioles | 200 |
| Ivory Meteor 9D17 | Orioles | 200 |
| Misty Scout E35C | Orioles | 200 |
| Coral Quasar 9C2F | Orioles | 200 |
| Cobalt Tide 5E2D | Orioles | 200 |
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