Analytics
Resolved Orioles on 20 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Orioles at 30.5%. The Orioles side opened at 45% on 19 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2025 to 20 Aug 2025, the highest close was 45% on 19 Aug 2025 and the lowest 30.5% on 20 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 30.5% on 20 Aug 2025. $1.1M traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Orioles price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Aug 2025 – 20 Aug 2025, chart shows 25%–50%
| Observed | Orioles price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2025 | 45.0% |
| 20 Aug 2025 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Alert-Doubling | Red Sox | 690.16K |
| ContactUsFAQ | Red Sox | 66.96K |
| Sick-Ottoman | Red Sox | 3.78K |
| Letmewin | Red Sox | 2.93K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for August 19 at 7:10PM ET: If the Baltimore Orioles win, the market will resolve to “Orioles”. If the Boston Red Sox win, the market will resolve to “Red Sox”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-bal-bos-2025-08-19
| collectorr | Red Sox | 1.88K |
| roldy | Red Sox | 1.55K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Red Sox | 1.26K |
| hewue | Red Sox | 1K |
| coldstone | Red Sox | 302 |
| nkkk | Red Sox | 280 |
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