
Resolved No.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 15% on 29 May 2024. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 1 Jun 2024 and the low 14.5% on 31 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 50% on 1 Jun 2024. $6.25K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 7, 3:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 29 May 2024 – 1 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2024 | 15.0% |
| 1 Jun 2024 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Insu | Yes | 714.29 |
| cezar | Yes | 519.28 |
| Mic | Yes | 100 |
| miniature | Yes | 8.33 |
| bilbobaggins-231 | Yes | 4 |
| VGFCHNMB | Yes | 0.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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