Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 6% on 22 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 134 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 6.5% on 24 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Dec 2025. $7.07K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 134 points, 22 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2025 | 6.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 434 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 249 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 162 |
On August 20, rumors emerged that Mikey Shelton was behind the crypto token $YZY. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referenced Mikey Shelton serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between August 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mikey-shelton-in-jail-in-2025
| Yes |
| 147.99 |
| rangkhosh | Yes | 142.86 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 135 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 114.74 |
| commeowder | Yes | 75 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 59 |
| DarkIsTheNight | Yes | 49.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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