Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 13% on 23 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2025, the highest close was 13% on 23 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 0.4% on 26 Sep 2025. $4.47K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 8:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 23 Sep 2025 – 30 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | 13.0% |
| 30 Sep 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lunar Orbit 9592 | Yes | 346.54 |
| Lenrager | Yes | 185.52 |
| JoeyS11 | Yes | 40 |
| stocktrader2123 | Yes | 18.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-announces-4000-btc-purchase-september-23-29
| kuiper | Yes | 6.67 |
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