Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 28 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Jul 2026 to 4 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 34.5% on 28 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 0.1% on 4 Aug 2026. $1.45K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 3:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Jul 2026 – 4 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2026 | 34.5% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jiaoyulang | Yes | 32.01 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 9.78 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Resolution source: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-announces-1000-btc-purchase-july-28-august-3
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