Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 80.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 5 Jan 2026, the highest close was 80.5% on 5 Jan 2026 and the lowest 28% on 3 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 80.5% on 5 Jan 2026. $26.65K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 6, 4:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 47.5% |
| 5 Jan 2026 | 80.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| heuer | No | 292.89 |
| jayknor | No | 256.99 |
| Samoshi | No | 235.43 |
| Gobinds971 | No | 234.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Resolution source: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-announces-1000-btc-purchase-december-30-january-5
| t189 | No | 100 |
| kevin-airdrop | No | 100 |
| Profeta1 | No | 90.36 |
| yunusergashev | No | 62.5 |
| Fartard | No | 50 |
| Outstanding-Guinea | No | 45.45 |
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