Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 11 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 4 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 10.5% on 8 Aug 2026 and the low 0.1% on 11 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 0.1% on 11 Aug 2026. $4.68K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 11, 11:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 4 Aug 2026 – 11 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 5.5% |
| 11 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Amber Lynx 5652 | Yes | 1K |
| Splottz | Yes | 300 |
| Lucky-Foundation | Yes | 250 |
| laoleigu | Yes | 228.9 |
| gubihui | Yes | 215 |
| jiaotoulu | Yes | 191.88 |
| luhanya | Yes | 175.58 |
| lalanfei | Yes | 173.65 |
| caichengcai | Yes | 137.55 |
| congfengjiao | Yes | 131.28 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Resolution source: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-announces-1000-btc-purchase-august-4-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page