Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 42% on 27 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2024 to 14 Sep 2024, the highest close was 100% on 14 Sep 2024 and the lowest 42% on 27 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 74% on 28 Aug 2024. $5.04M traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 14, 11:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 27 Aug 2024 – 14 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2024 | 42.0% |
| 14 Sep 2024 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JosienAlcatraz | No | 134.25K |
| theNTM | No | 27.13K |
| Staid-Prey | No | 10.5K |
| Vast-Rate | No | 5.17K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the microphones of the candidates are muted specifically while the other candidate is speaking during the ABC-hosted presidential debate, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the September 10, 2024, debate is postponed, this market will apply to the first ABC-hosted presidential debate that occurs before the 2024 election. If no ABC-hosted presidential debate occurs before the 2024 election this market will resolve to "No". The muting of the candidate's microphones after their allotted speaking time for a question runs up will NOT qualify - the policy of muting must specifically apply to when the other candidate is speaking. The resolution source will be the official debate broadcast and information from ABC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/microphones-muted-during-abc-debate
| Monumental-Yoga | No | 4.69K |
| DefinitelyNotme | No | 3.04K |
| betweenoceans | No | 1.1K |
| gop228stop | No | 500 |
| risteacormiami | No | 333.33 |
| Exellion | No | 281.08 |
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