Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?

politicsResolved

No, settled Nov 5, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$861.5K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 5, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 1.8% on 8 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 3.1% on 18 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 25 Oct 2024. $861.46K traded over the market's life.

59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 7:41 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 8 Aug 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Aug 2024	1.8%
5 Nov 2024	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
SteveB	Yes	17.03K
ClockBhains	Yes	14.46K
QQQ777	Yes	14.31K

10 of 59 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michelle Obama officially becomes the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. president by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.