Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 14 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 80 daily closes on record from 14 Jul 2023 to 1 Oct 2023, the highest close was 48% on 23 Jul 2023 and the lowest 1% on 3 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 47.8% on 14 Aug 2023. $1.12K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 1:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 14 Jul 2023 – 1 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2023 | 1.5% |
| 1 Oct 2023 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mjrbobo | Yes | 16.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the black box from the missing Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mh370-black-box-found-by-september-30
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