
Yes is at 51.5%, down 17 points from 68.5% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 19.5% on 18 Oct 2026.
$211.39 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.21K since listing. The order book holds $3.3, with a 93.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 34 trades, $67.13 bought Yes and $906 bought No.
The largest Yes position is LeechLord with 426 shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 709. Ten wallets hold 93.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 68.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 708.62 |
| LeechLord | Yes | 425.99 |
| alpha.chen | No | 298.37 |
As of market creation, MGM Resorts is estimated to release earnings on October 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for MGM Resorts’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.18 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if MGM Resorts reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.18 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If MGM Resorts releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Official listing:
| sbimbg |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| galhammerman | Yes | 150 |
| Neon Pioneer 64D7 | Yes | 56.03 |
| qqqppp-l1 | Yes | 40 |
| financegaaaydog | Yes | 38.6 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 22.53 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 21.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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