Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 39%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 77% on 23 Oct 2025 and the low 47.5% on 16 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 77% on 23 Oct 2025. $17.52K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 20 points · 8 Oct 2025 – 27 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 27 Oct 2025 | 61.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Yes | 12.5K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 453.92 |
| Grega | Yes | 319.35 |
| nzone | Yes | 145.64 |
| cherbert | Yes | 80.65 |
| Speedrichie | Yes | 71.95 |
| Young.Turkish | Yes | 52.63 |
| luksuz | Yes | 48.39 |
| uh6hj7 | Yes | 39.9 |
| ryu2023 | Yes | 32.26 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 26, 2025 If Deportivo Toluca FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mex-tol-pac-2025-10-26
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