
Resolved No on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 56%. Yes opened at 49% on 22 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 22 Dec 2025 to 18 Jan 2026, the highest close was 56.5% on 4 Jan 2026 and the lowest 19% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 52% on 31 Dec 2025. $26.09K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 22 Dec 2025 – 18 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 44.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| roon49 | Yes | 3.88K |
| aymory | Yes | 454.55 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 432.73 |
| 8288283 | Yes | 171.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 17, 2026 If Tigres de la UANL wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mex-tig-tol-2026-01-17
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| AriRothschild | Yes | 61.43 |
| LeviBoo | Yes | 55.56 |