Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 17 Feb 2026 and the low 43.5% on 10 Mar 2026.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 16 Feb 2026 – 15 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gentlemanofrisk | Yes | 2.2K |
| lionss | Yes | 2.07K |
| Juanito026 | Yes | 851.06 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 628.22 |
| charles366 | Yes | 455 |
| Royal Quasar CA52 | Yes | 312.5 |
| Woitys | Yes | 312.5 |
| W.Yang911 | Yes | 243.99 |
| machachong | Yes | 243 |
| Cannae | Yes | 185.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 14, 2026 If CF Cruz Azul wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mex-pum-caz-2026-03-14
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