Analytics
Resolved No on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 47% on 8 May 2026 and the low 14.5% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 14.5% on 11 May 2026. $51.53K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 12, 2:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 29 Apr 2026 – 11 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 45.0% |
| 11 May 2026 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WarewaPain | Yes | 3K |
| plebbsc | Yes | 1.14K |
| swa3 | Yes | 1K |
| notJaneStreet | Yes | 799.98 |
| Excited-Rent | Yes | 539.91 |
| Testy-Desk | Yes | 538.34 |
| jackinv1lvl2 | Yes | 277.74 |
| CajetanCryptoTrading-Hour4 | Yes | 125.91 |
| stripbear | Yes | 100 |
| Drmhvall | Yes | 89.74 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If Deportivo Toluca FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mex-pac-tol-2026-05-10
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