Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 56.5%. Yes opened at 52% on 30 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 56.5% on 5 Oct 2025 and the low 52% on 30 Sep 2025. $6.26K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 8:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Sep 2025 – 5 Oct 2025, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2025 | 52.0% |
| 5 Oct 2025 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ill-Fated-Buzzard | No | 200 |
| assertequal | No | 138 |
| nzone | No | 35 |
| EVplusrebate | No | 8.65 |
| Keen Quasar EFAA | Yes | 0.03 |
| MnMk | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 4, 2025 If Deportivo Toluca FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mex-leo-tol-2025-10-04
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