Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 18 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2025 to 14 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 26% on 14 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28% on 8 Jan 2026. $7.44K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 15, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 18 Dec 2025 – 14 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 14 Jan 2026 | 26.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| roon49 | Yes | 877 |
| Bold Meteor F1C5 | Yes | 92.59 |
| bob0bur | Yes | 90.56 |
| markbossqiu | Yes | 89.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 13, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mex-jua-gua-2026-01-13
New to prediction markets?
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| bibebong8801 | Yes | 39.29 |
