Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 79.5%. Yes opened at 65% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 79.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the low 54% on 21 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 78.5% on 9 Mar 2026. $35.85K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 5:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 26 points · 16 Feb 2026 – 14 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 65.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 79.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | No | 2.44K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 652.42 |
| rox119 | No | 500 |
| knedloveprovelo | No | 205.9 |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | No | 197.19 |
| Prestigious-Tonight | No | 100 |
| Lavincey | No | 90.94 |
| antec | No | 80 |
| FaustianBargain | No | 54 |
| puppyy | No | 34.57 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 14, 2026 If CD Guadalajara wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mex-gua-san-2026-03-14
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