Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 20 Feb 2026 and the low 11.5% on 18 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 47% on 26 Feb 2026.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 5:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 26 points · 20 Feb 2026 – 18 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 49.0% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 11.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| steamrolling | Yes | 2K |
| Another-Hope | Yes | 1K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 218.97 |
| Fine-Procurement | Yes | 153.85 |
| GbushiCshuo | Yes | 100.47 |
| Neon Ledger 090F | Yes | 95.74 |
| Xoaimit | Yes | 81.63 |
| Pointless-Morphology | Yes | 59 |
| human.bean | Yes | 55.31 |
| DonVitoCorleone69 | Yes | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 18, 2026 If Club León FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mex-gua-leo-2026-03-18
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