Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 31 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 1 May 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76.5% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 8% on 30 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 76.5% on 1 May 2026. $2.18M traded over the market's life.
346 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 43.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| horiz0n | No | 37.52K |
| Hilarious-Pound | No | 18.53K |
| ivikt | No | 10.74K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $1,500,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/megaeth-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
| No |
| 5.81K |
| ElerKsan | No | 5.72K |
| 0xvelka | No | 3.35K |
| chingaling | No | 3.22K |
| brliann | No | 3K |
| Vlad823 | No | 2.83K |
| uguaga | No | 2.7K |
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