Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88%. Yes opened at 44% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 88% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 38% on 22 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 58% on 23 Apr 2026. $43.01K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 10:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 44.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 88.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| moritz69 | No | 1.5K |
| chingaling | No | 1.19K |
| Ulinu | No | 1K |
| Vitaaalya | No | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/megaeth-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| something-know | No | 200 |
| NotAFinancialAdvice | No | 117 |
| OfferLifter | No | 112.9 |
| acal | No | 100 |
| akunai | No | 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
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