
Resolved Under on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 99.2%. The Over side opened at 50.5% on 25 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 39.5% on 1 Sep 2026. $3.91K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dr.PNL | Over | 151.82 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Over | 80 |
| .Menthe | Over | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mega-charizard-y-ex-price-up-down-on-september-30-20260824121703112
| Over |
| 29.92 |
| Mojito9 | Over | 20 |
| jfkjdfj3 | Over | 10.11 |
| TENETENET | Over | 10 |
| triklozoid | Over | 5 |
| chessplayer | Under | 0.02 |
| letsgo33 | Over | 0.01 |
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