Analytics
Yes is at 80.5%, up 31 points from 50% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 74 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 18 Sep 2026. The current quote, 80.5%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 75% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 69%; a month before, 41%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 40.5% on 3 Oct 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Matthew Stafford 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards”.
$943.51 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $171.81, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 88 trades, $208.59 bought Yes and $78.68 bought No.
The largest Yes position is extractive-manatee with 80 shares; the largest No position is GuyFromTinder with 68.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 91 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 75.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 80 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 67.96 |
| Carabao | No | 49.45 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Matthew Stafford records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 3,999.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Matthew Stafford does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Matthew Stafford recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/matthew-stafford-passing-yards-2026-27
| cigarettes |
| Yes |
| 43.16 |
| timeistmoney | Yes | 27 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 20 |
| boempie | No | 20 |
| Flingflonger | Yes | 14 |
| Unfortunate-Particle | Yes | 8.93 |
| Scoopdewhoop | No | 6.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
