Analytics
Resolved No on 5 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 5 May 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 20.5% on 4 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 20.5% on 4 May 2026. $94.49 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 6, 8:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 5 May 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 49.0% |
| 5 May 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| ParisDubai | Yes | 2.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Match Group's total number of paying users (Payers) for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If Match Group's official earnings materials for Q1 2026 are released and the total number of paying users is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If Match Group does not release quarterly earnings materials for Q1 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Match Group's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of total paying users reported in Match Group's official earnings materials. Only the company-wide aggregate paying users figure will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/match-payers-above-in-q1
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