Analytics
Resolved No on 6 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 62%. Yes opened at 49% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 6 May 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 38% on 6 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 38.5% on 4 May 2026. $633.6 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 6 May 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 49.0% |
| 6 May 2026 | 38.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| suabeo | Yes | 100 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 19.62 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Cobalt Ledger F8A5 | Yes | 1.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marriott's total rooms at the end of the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If Marriott's official earnings materials for Q1 2026 are released and total rooms are not included, this market will resolve to "No". If Marriott does not release quarterly earnings materials for Q1 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Marriott's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of total rooms reported in Marriott's official earnings materials. Only the total system-wide room count will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/marriott-total-rooms-above-in-q1
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