Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 9 Aug 2024 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 6% on 10 Aug 2024. $11.55K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 12:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 146 points · 9 Aug 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.98K |
| kingfisher | Yes | 1.3K |
| St-Qc | Yes | 305 |
Who will replace Larry Fink as BlackRock CEO?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-replace-larry-fink-as-blackrock-ceo
| Yes |
| 150.98 |
| Optimal-Chap | Yes | 136.5 |
| LegendaryLifter | Yes | 109.2 |
| Lucsas | Yes | 83.33 |
| lyliy | Yes | 32.5 |
| DougEvoX | Yes | 25.31 |
| Synergy8800 | Yes | 13.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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