Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 42% on 12 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 82 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2023 to 2 Mar 2024, the highest close was 64% on 29 Dec 2023 and the lowest 6% on 20 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 50% on 21 Jan 2024. $10.92K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 7:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 12 Dec 2023 – 2 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2023 | 42.0% |
| 2 Mar 2024 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Atlas | Yes | 1.15K |
| Advanced-Snarl | Yes | 769.23 |
| uniqueoats | Yes | 57.53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/solana-airdrops-by-march-1
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