Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 97.8% on 16 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2025 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 97.8% on 16 Jan 2025. $46.38K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 7:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Jan 2025 – 21 Jan 2025, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2025 | 97.8% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 99.9% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio is confirmed as Secretary of State by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Rubio's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed
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