Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 16 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 39.5% on 28 Mar 2025 and the low 0.1% on 31 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 0.1% on 31 Mar 2025. $7.81K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 8:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 16 points · 16 Mar 2025 – 31 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2025 | 30.5% |
| 31 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.46K |
| ShuRuGa | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if exactly 1 team ranked #1 advances to the 2025 March Madness Final Four. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. if it is impossible for a certain number of #1 seeds to advance to the 2025 NCAA March Madness Final 4, according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason the Final Four participants are not know by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “0". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-1-seeds-make-the-semifinals
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