Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 16 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 16 Mar 2025 to 8 Apr 2025, the highest close was 48% on 7 Apr 2025 and the lowest 14.5% on 23 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 48% on 7 Apr 2025. $36.45K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 9, 6:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 16 Mar 2025 – 8 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2025 | 16.5% |
| 8 Apr 2025 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.46K |
| Jade Meteor A82D | Yes | 900 |
| Royal Maven 1544 | Yes | 795 |
| Royal Comet E8C0 | Yes | 595 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a team from the ACC conference wins the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If it is impossible for a Conference to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-conference-will-win-ncaa-tournament
| Indigo Meteor 4A6E | Yes | 575 |
| Misty Orbit 1A2D | Yes | 490 |
| Cosmic Quasar 208E | Yes | 410 |
| Lunar Pulse B081 | Yes | 395 |
| Rapid Quasar BEE5 | Yes | 355 |
| Golden Kestrel 4F73 | Yes | 330 |
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