
Resolved No on 8 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5% on 16 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 16 Mar 2025 to 8 Apr 2025, the highest close was 13% on 17 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.5% on 18 Mar 2025. $181.32K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 8, 7:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 16 Mar 2025 – 8 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2025 | 5.0% |
| 8 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.46K |
| PolyDump | Yes | 100 |
| qQamuexPWM | Yes | 4.58 |
| OqgRjWqyWi | Yes | 0.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a team from the ACC conference wins the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If it is impossible for a Conference to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-conference-will-win-ncaa-tournament
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