Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Mar 2025 to 21 Mar 2025, the highest close was 50% on 16 Mar 2025 and the lowest 3.5% on 21 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4.5% on 17 Mar 2025. $6.53K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 10:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Mar 2025 – 21 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2025 | 50.0% |
| 21 Mar 2025 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.55K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the number of “upsets” that occur in the first round of the 2025 March Madness Tournament. An “upset” is defined as a team with a lower seed that defeats a team with a higher seed. First Four play-in games will not count for the resolution of this market. If for any reason the first round is not completed by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-upsets-in-first-round-of-ncaa-tournament
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
