Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 38% on 16 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 38% on 16 Mar 2025 and the low 7.5% on 28 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 10.5% on 17 Mar 2025. $14.76K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 6:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 16 Mar 2025 – 28 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2025 | 38.0% |
| 28 Mar 2025 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ShuRuGa | Yes | 0 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a team with a #10 seed or higher advances (seed 10-16) to the 2025 NCAA March Madness Final Four. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If for any reason the Final Four has not been determined by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/march-madness-10-seed-or-higher-to-makes-the-final-four
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