Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48.5% on 25 Jun 2026 and the low 17.5% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 17.5% on 28 Jun 2026. $401.46 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 7:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 25 Jun 2026 – 28 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 48.5% |
| 28 Jun 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| quantye | Yes | 72.89 |
| ZeroCheng | Yes | 63.16 |
| zhoudada333 | Yes | 60 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| pauljohnso | Yes | 5.88 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 28, 2026 If US Yacoub El Mansour wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.frmf.ma/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mar1-mad-uye-2026-06-28
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