Yes is at 11.5%, down 39 points from 50% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.
The high was 62.5% on 30 Sep 2026 and the low 11.5% on 7 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 62.5%; a month ago, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 42.5% on 1 Oct 2026.
It is one of 25 markets under “Pro Football: 2026-27 3,500+ Passing Yards”.
$107 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $32.01, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is DuneMentat with 17 shares; the largest No position is Royal Comet 5FD4 with 17.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 113 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 3:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 41 points · 29 Aug 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 11.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DuneMentat | Yes | 17 |
| Royal Comet 5FD4 | No | 17 |
| Slow-Exhibit | Yes | 8 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 3,500. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-3500-passing-yards
12 more markets, none above 63.5%.
| Carabao |
| No |
| 8 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page