Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 15 Jan 2026 and the low 0.3% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 10.3% on 16 Jan 2026. $21.03K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 17 points · 15 Jan 2026 – 31 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wrathful-Hospitalisation | Yes | 765.82 |
| VitroX | Yes | 608.33 |
| Nam4 | Yes | 498.19 |
| Idealistic-Picturesque | Yes | 351.52 |
| Senormalaka | Yes | 287.7 |
| Hondacrv | Yes | 273.68 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 258 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 258 |
| kozejonas | Yes | 183 |
| Flippant-Quest | Yes | 182.74 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of President Nicolás Maduro taken after January 2 is made widely available to the public by January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of Nicolás Maduro becomes widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/maduro-mugshot-released-by-monday
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