Resolved No on 19 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the price held at 24.5%. $3.58K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 20, 4:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| topdogbigboi | Yes | 194.48 |
| Guajjangi | Yes | 106 |
| Improbable-Consideration | Yes | 71 |
| Amber Sphinx BA53 | Yes | 55.08 |
| TheRomanProcurator | Yes | 45.73 |
| AuraSync | Yes | 16.13 |
| 4F7KXYbm7fUxPCQaXkiYvGtu5R | Yes | 14 |
| jackpotjerry | Yes | 10.14 |
| Space-Oddity | Yes | 7 |
| lemoking126 | Yes | 7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Virslīga game, scheduled for Monday, October 19, 2026 between BFC Daugavpils and FK Auda Riga.
Resolution source: https://www.virsliga.lv/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lva1-bfc-aud-2026-10-19
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