Analytics
Resolved Up on 13 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 52.5%. The Up side opened at 50.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 13 Dec 2025, the highest close was 75% on 12 Dec 2025 and the lowest 50.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 75% on 12 Dec 2025. $229.6 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 14, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 13 Dec 2025, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 13 Dec 2025 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 9735 | Down | 100 |
| rocketcrypto | Down | 12 |
| Gaseous-Depressive | Down | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official Nasdaq closing price for Lululemon (LULU) after the next earnings release is higher than the official Nasdaq closing price for LULU prior to the earnings release. This market will resolve to “Down” if the official Nasdaq closing price for Lululemon (LULU) after the next earnings release is lower than the official Nasdaq closing price for LULU prior to the earnings release. This market resolves based on the exact timing of the company’s first public release of earnings figures, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If LULU does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Nasdaq for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Nasdaq Historical Quotes page (nasdaq.com), specifically the Close values for LULU.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lululemon-lulu-up-or-down-after-earnings
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