Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 49.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 15 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 9 Jan 2026 and the lowest 50% on 10 Jan 2026. $711.95 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 15 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 15 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 264 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 127.91 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 84 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 46.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming match between Ultra Prime and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, scheduled for January 15 at 2:00am ET: If Ultra Prime wins exactly 1 games in this series, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.twitch.tv/lplenglish
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lol-lgd-up-2026-01-15
New to prediction markets?
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 37 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 29 |
