Analytics
Resolved Winthrop University on 24 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Winthrop University at 16.5%. The Conviction side opened at 78% on 20 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2026 to 24 Jul 2026, the highest close was 83.5% on 24 Jul 2026 and the lowest 74% on 23 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 83.5% on 24 Jul 2026. $132.24K traded over the market's life.
88 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 25, 3:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Conviction price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 20 Jul 2026 – 24 Jul 2026, chart shows 70%–90%
| Observed | Conviction price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | 78.0% |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 83.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Conviction | 4.87K |
| pobyyy | Conviction | 3K |
| hhhh112233 | Conviction | 2.09K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Conviction | 1.12K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Winthrop University in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 23 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win the match against Winthrop University. This market will resolve to "Winthrop University" if Winthrop University win the match against Conviction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lol-cnv-wu-2026-07-23
| 239393828 | Conviction | 937.13 |
| imake1mil | Conviction | 911.68 |
| Rough-Dearest-Monocle | Conviction | 813 |
| baseinv3 | Conviction | 628.58 |
| zzaqq2 | Conviction | 543 |
| Trifling-Luggage | Conviction | 500 |
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