LoL: Arctic Pandas vs 4 SWINES & A BUM (BO1) - NLC Regular Season

Resolved

Arctic Pandas, settled Jan 22, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$15.8K

Resolved

Arctic Pandas

Settled

Jan 22, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Arctic Pandas on 22 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Arctic Pandas at 23.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 18 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 18 Jan 2026 to 22 Jan 2026, the highest close was 76.5% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 50% on 18 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 71% on 19 Jan 2026. $15.77K traded over the market's life.

25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 12:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 18 Jan 2026 – 22 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–90%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
18 Jan 2026	50.0%
22 Jan 2026	76.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
xiaohuangxiaohuang	4 SWINES & A BUM	1.5K
Hurtful-Router	4 SWINES & A BUM	1K
Amber Oracle 9573	4 SWINES & A BUM	499.91
mczippo	4 SWINES & A BUM

10 of 25 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market refers to the LoL match between Arctic Pandas and 4 SWINES & A BUM in the NLC Regular Season, scheduled for January 22 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Arctic Pandas" if Arctic Pandas win the match against 4 SWINES & A BUM. This market will resolve to "4 SWINES & A BUM" if 4 SWINES & A BUM win the match against Arctic Pandas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Main_Page.