Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 99 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 9 Apr 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 18% on 14 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 93.5% on 12 Mar 2026. $256.02K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 15, 7:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 99 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 9 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 99.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Devoted-Route | No | 5.53K |
| readyplayer6 | No | 3.83K |
| cherry-picker | No | 2.5K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada holds a majority of seats in the House of Commons for any period of time between December 12, 2025 and June 30, 2026, otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if Parliament is dissolved before June 30, 2026. This markets resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the Liberal Party of Canada, not any alliance or coalition of which it may be a part. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/liberal-majority-in-canadian-parliament-by-june-30
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 1.73K |
| Solar Oracle 7C6A | No | 1.31K |
| Jade Raven 6450 | No | 1K |
| ElTigreDelNorte | No | 690.62 |
| Royal Vector 21C1 | No | 676.11 |
| Ipadressz | No | 588.24 |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
