Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 26% on 4 Apr 2023. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 4 Apr 2023 to 2 May 2023 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 1 May 2023 and the lowest 4% on 8 Apr 2023. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 4.5% on 2 May 2023. $2.21K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 6:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 4 Apr 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2023 | 26.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In Response to Trader Inquiry: Token sales are not airdrops. Tokens need to be distributed to users’ wallets for free or through claiming with a gas fee for it to be an airdrop. This is a market on whether Lens Protocol (https://www.lens.xyz/) will both launch and airdrop a native token by May 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Launching a token can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native to the underlying application or protocol, and substantiated by the respective project via website or official social media channels. Airdrop in this context means that a nonzero portion of this token’s supply must have been distributed (by claiming, directly, etc.) to at least one subset of actors relevant to the underlying project. If this project launches a token and performs an airdrop by May 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If one or both of the objectives are not met by the resolution date, the market resolves to “No”.
Resolution source: https://www.lens.xyz/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lens-protocol-airdrop-by-may-1
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