
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 68.5%. Yes opened at 27% on 24 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 31.5% on 5 Mar 2026 and the low 27% on 24 Feb 2026.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 24 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | 27.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| therighteousdog | Yes | 122.43K |
| akahuku | Yes | 9.91K |
| Cannae | Yes | 8.18K |
| rox119 | Yes | 5.79K |
| sinestia | Yes | 3.54K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 2.35K |
| dokdo | Yes | 2.06K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.73K |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 1.02K |
| c4c4 | Yes | 939 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 8, 2026 between Sevilla FC and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-sev-ray-2026-03-08
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