Analytics
Resolved No on 14 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 32.5% on 2 May 2026 and the low 12.5% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 17.5% on 3 May 2026. $130.1K traded over the market's life.
145 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 15, 11:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 2 May 2026 – 14 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 32.5% |
| 14 May 2026 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mortewfenloin | Yes | 7.2K |
| notJaneStreet | Yes | 4.7K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.41K |
| Rabble99 | Yes | 1.15K |
| BDjony | Yes | 1.12K |
| dudukos | Yes | 1.07K |
| Toodles89 | Yes | 1K |
| Golden-Beginning | Yes | 776.79 |
| UKIIDQJ | Yes | 714.29 |
| gbbgxfb | Yes | 625 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Thursday, May 14, 2026 between Real Madrid CF and Real Oviedo.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-rea-ovi-2026-05-14
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