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Paper trading
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 25% on 2 Mar 2026 and the low 0.1% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 12% on 3 Mar 2026.
117 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 11:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 25.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 35.54K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.12K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 4.04K |
| Dismal-Chalice | Yes | 1.5K |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 1K |
| lopux | Yes | 1K |
| indonesiangambler | Yes | 1K |
| foooool | Yes | 982.68 |
| Ammar201 | Yes | 952 |
| LangDD | Yes | 944.44 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between Real Madrid CF and Elche CF.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-rea-elc-2026-03-14
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