Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 46.5%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 2 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 2 Feb 2026 to 15 Feb 2026, the highest close was 57.5% on 4 Feb 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 10 Feb 2026. $5.44M traded over the market's life.
509 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 2 Feb 2026 – 15 Feb 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | 53.5% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | 53.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PuzzleTricker | Yes | 2.96M |
| 432614799197 | Yes | 38.54K |
| hugesportswhale | Yes | 31.4K |
| Cannae | Yes | 13.8K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 14, 2026 If Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-ray-mad-2026-02-14
| BarneyZ | Yes | 9.09K |
| Spherical-Entrepreneur | Yes | 7.52K |
| Stacckeemm | Yes | 5K |
| seekGODDDD | Yes | 4.01K |
| 12444 | Yes | 3.5K |
| Mognar | Yes | 3.42K |
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