Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 69.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 20 Aug 2026, the highest close was 52% on 12 Aug 2026 and the lowest 30% on 17 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 32% on 15 Aug 2026. $34.43K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 8:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 20 Aug 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 51.0% |
| 20 Aug 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Forecastication2 | Yes | 81.98 |
| Thirsty-Breakpoint | Yes | 75.73 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 54 |
| chittaa776 | Yes | 16.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 20, 2026 If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-ray-ala-2026-08-20-halftime-result
| Gamiolas | Yes | 11.2 |
| locatedMMM | Yes | 10 |
| 90ball | Yes | 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| RN1 | Yes | 1.29 |
| what.... | Yes | 1.04 |
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