
Resolved No on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 69.5%. Yes opened at 29% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 14 Mar 2026, the highest close was 30.5% on 9 Mar 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 5 Mar 2026.
86 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 9:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 24%–36%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 29.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.32K |
| Vivacious-Pigsty | Yes | 1.01K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 777.42 |
| TargetKTH | Yes | 646.93 |
| Avarice31 | Yes | 450 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 419.36 |
| 50based | Yes | 300 |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 246.19 |
| PMHedgeFund | Yes | 237 |
| guo2243 | Yes | 224.72 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between Real Oviedo and Valencia CF.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-ovi-val-2026-03-14
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